A disorganized area of low pressure continues moving across the southeastern Caribbean Sea. Another Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance mission went into the area this morning and found that there was no well defined center.
Right now, it's threading along the borders of Guyana and Venezuela while dropping heavy rain over Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, and St Vincent and the Grenadines.
Chief Met Officer Ronald Gordon gave us the latest information on the disturbance and discussed the forecast track which brings it to the Central American mainland in about 5 days, quite likely as a storm:
Ronald Gordon, Chief Meteorological Officer
"The system remains disorganized and there was a second hurricane reconnaissance mission this afternoon or this morning and they did not find a well-defined center of circulation.
"Most of the models are indicating that the system, once it moves away from the coast of South America into the southwestern Caribbean Sea where there is more ocean or it has more real estate, so to speak, to develop, there is the potential for it to develop and become a tropical storm. That's within about two to three days. And after that, where it goes is still relatively uncertain, however, one of the most reliable models which is the European model is indicating that the system will move towards Nicaragua and possibly Honduras, but because it is a system that is likely to move south of us, we would tend to get more rainfall from such systems."
"All indications are that it should be in that area of Nicaragua and Honduras around late Sunday and then after that move across and then would affect us on Tuesday.
"So all this is indicating that there is a lot of uncertainty in regards to the system at the moment, which means that we have to be extra vigilant and monitor it closely. As I always say our months of September and October, so certainly it is not unusual for us to have systems heading our direction at this time of the year."
Once the system becomes a tropical depression or storm they will be able to track it better - and we'll keep you closely posted.
